Joe Biden may be the only person in the country who believes he's 'outperforming' expectations, as he asserted last week. In fairness, he's not literally the only person willing to say this; a whopping five percent of respondents in the latest NBC News poll agreed. We've been tracking the president's abysmal polling week, and the hits just keep on coming. Nationally, Republicans have now bounced out to their largest average 2022 'generic ballot' lead of the cycle. Remember, the GOP usually does quite well if they're tied or even slightly trailing on this metric. The average:
All-cycle highs for Republicans in the Generic Ballot average tracked by both RCP and 538 today... pic.twitter.com/YpolZIVzj7
— Logan Dobson (@LoganDobson) January 26, 2022
And here are some demographic breakdowns from Monmouth, which puts Republicans ahead by eight nationally -- which would mean a bloodbath if it proves anywhere close to accurate when the voting happens:
Who do you want to see control Congress Republicans/Democrats in 2022?
— Ryan James Girdusky (@RyanGirdusky) January 26, 2022
Overall: 51/43
GOP: 92/5
Indie: 48/39
Dem: 4/94
Men: 55/38
Women: 45/47
White: 57/36
Non-white: 36/54
White no degree: 66/27
White w/ degree: 41/56
Indies and men are a real problem for the Democrats in this data. And don't look now, but that's another national poll pegging Biden's approval below 40 percent. Some of that is base erosion, which is a disaster for an unpopular president. He may regain some ground with a likely SCOTUS confirmation victory, and thanks to the reassertion of tribalism ahead of an election, but it's still dangerous territory. The same Monmouth survey also finds than fewer than 1-in-4 American voters (24%) see passing BBB as a major priority. The bill should stay dead. Out in some key battleground states, it's also pretty dreary for POTUS:
Biden approval (NEW HAMPSHIRE), per new UNH poll:
— Josh Kraushaar (@HotlineJosh) January 26, 2022
Approval: 39%
Disapproval: 60% (!)
Biden won 53% of the vote in NH in 2020, a notch higher than his national vote share.https://t.co/YyeO96MxTJ
New Hampshire has a gubernatorial race and a critical Senate race this cycle, featuring a key GOP pickup opportunity. And in Georgia, home to last January's disastrous Republican meltdown, a possible resurgence is underway, per two new polls:
New Quinnipiac poll of GEORGIA:
— Jacob Rubashkin (@JacobRubashkin) January 26, 2022
Senate
Warnock (D-inc) 48
Walker (R) 49
Gov
Abrams (D) 47
Kemp (R-inc) 49
Abrams (D) 48
Perdue (R) 48
GOP Gov Primary
Kemp 43
Perdue 36
(1702 RVs, 666 GOP LVs, 1/19-24)https://t.co/uj7gnjGH7H
This would be more daunting if the same poll didn't have Biden at 33 (-28/50% strongly disapprove) https://t.co/fQFeZbOpZ0
— Liam Donovan (@LPDonovan) January 27, 2022
2022 #GAGov General Election Poll:
— PollTracker (@PollTrackerUSA) January 27, 2022
Brian Kemp (R-Inc) 48% (+7)
Stacey Abrams (D) 41%
.
David Perdue (R) 47% (+4)
Stacey Abrams (D) 43%@universityofga/@AJC ~ 872 RV ~ 1/13-1/24https://t.co/8hbfAv4UId
71% wrong track
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) January 27, 2022
Kemp +7
Walker +3 https://t.co/qU6AG20q1y
I guess the recent demagogic Biden/Harris event in Atlanta, snubbed by Stacey Abrams, didn't do the trick, huh? With Biden's numbers the way they are in Georgia, Republicans should be in good position to win in 2022 -- unless internal divisions once again lead to lower-than-needed turnout, handing Democrats victories. One would hope conservatives have learned their lesson in Georgia. Total unity, even if everyone isn't perfectly thrilled, is what's needed. Georgia isn't an automatic red state anymore, by any stretch. Adjust accordingly. I'll leave you with this:
Recommended
Full interview here: https://t.co/2NNuPHNO75 https://t.co/lZ4X9YN8oF
— Guy Benson (@guypbenson) January 27, 2022